Selected Publications for GLOBIOM and G4M


Soterroni, A. C., Império, M., Scarabello, M. C., Seddon, N., Obersteiner, M., Rochedo, P. R., … & Alencar, A. A. (2023). Nature‐based solutions are critical for putting Brazil on track towards net‐zero emissions by 2050. Global Change Biology.

Ren, M., Huang, C., Wu, Y., Deppermann, A., Frank, S., Havlík, P., … & Dai, H. (2023). Enhanced food system efficiency is the key to China’s 2060 carbon neutrality target. Nature Food, 4(7), 552-564.

De Vos, K., Janssens, C., Jacobs, L., Campforts, B., Boere, E., Kozicka, M., … & Govers, G. (2023). Rice availability and stability in Africa under future socio-economic development and climatic change. Nature Food, 1-10.

Wu, Y., Deppermann, A., Havlík, P., Frank, S., Ren, M., Zhao, H., … & Dai, H. (2023). Global land-use and sustainability implications of enhanced bioenergy import of China. Applied Energy, 336, 120769.

Spillias, S., Valin, H., Batka, M., Sperling, F., Havlík, P., Leclère, D., … & McDonald-Madden, E. (2023). Reducing global land-use pressures with seaweed farming. Nature Sustainability, 6(4), 380-390.

Kozicka, M., Havlík, P., Valin, H., Wollenberg, E., Deppermann, A., Leclère, D., … & Gurwick, N. (2023). Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives. Nature Communications, 14(1), 5316.

Janssens, C., Havlík, P., Boere, E., Palazzo, A., Mosnier, A., Leclère, D., … & Maertens, M. (2022). A sustainable future for Africa through continental free trade and agricultural development. Nature Food, 3(8), 608-618.

Pérez-Domínguez, I., Del Prado, A., Mittenzwei, K., Hristov, J., Frank, S., Tabeau, A., … & Sanz-Sánchez, M. J. (2021). Short-and long-term warming effects of methane may affect the cost-effectiveness of mitigation policies and benefits of low-meat diets. Nature food, 2(12), 970-980.

Janssens, C., Havlík, P., Krisztin, T., Baker, J., Frank, S., Hasegawa, T., … & Maertens, M. (2021). International trade is a key component of climate change adaptation. Nature Climate Change, 11(11), 915-916.

Lauri, P., Forsell, N., Di Fulvio, F., Snäll, T., & Havlik, P. (2021). Material substitution between coniferous, non-coniferous and recycled biomass–Impacts on forest industry raw material use and regional competitiveness. Forest Policy and Economics, 132, 102588.

Zhao, H., Chang, J., Havlik, P., van Dijk, M., Valin, H., Janssens, C., … & Obersteiner, M. (2021). China’s future food demand and its implications for trade and environment. Nature Sustainability, 4(12), 1042-1051.

Frank, S., Havlík, P., Tabeau, A., Witzke, P., Boere, E., Bogonos, M., … & Valin, H. (2021). How much multilateralism do we need? Effectiveness of unilateral agricultural mitigation efforts in the global context. Environmental Research Letters, 16(10), 104038.

Prussi, M., Lee, U., Wang, M., Malina, R., Valin, H., Taheripour, F., … & Hileman, J. I. (2021). CORSIA: The first internationally adopted approach to calculate life-cycle GHG emissions for aviation fuels. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 150, 111398.

Chang, J., Havlík, P., Leclère, D., de Vries, W., Valin, H., Deppermann, A., … & Obersteiner, M. (2021). Reconciling regional nitrogen boundaries with global food security. Nature Food, 2(9), 700-711.

Latka, C., Kuiper, M., Frank, S., Heckelei, T., Havlík, P., Witzke, H. P., … & van Dijk, M. (2021). Paying the price for environmentally sustainable and healthy EU diets. Global Food Security, 28, 100437.

Stepanyan, D., Grethe, H., Zimmermann, G., Siddig, K., Deppermann, A., Feuerbacher, A., … & Havlik, P. (2021). Multiple rotations of Gaussian quadratures: An efficient method for uncertainty analyses in large-scale simulation models. Environmental Modelling & Software, 136, 104929.

Frank, S., Gusti, M., Havlík, P., Lauri, P., DiFulvio, F., Forsell, N., … & Valin, H. (2021). Land-based climate change mitigation potentials within the agenda for sustainable development. Environmental Research Letters, 16(2), 024006.

Leclère, D., Obersteiner, M., Barrett, M., Butchart, S. H., Chaudhary, A., De Palma, A., … & Young, L. (2020). Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy. Nature, 585(7826), 551-556.

Janssens, C., Havlík, P., Krisztin, T., Baker, J., Frank, S., Hasegawa, T., … & Maertens, M. (2020). Global hunger and climate change adaptation through international trade. Nature Climate Change, 10(9), 829-835.

Zilli, M., Scarabello, M., Soterroni, A. C., Valin, H., Mosnier, A., Leclere, D., … & Ramos, F. M. (2020). The impact of climate change on Brazil’s agriculture. Science of the Total Environment, 740, 139384.

Molotoks, A., Henry, R., Stehfest, E., Doelman, J., Havlik, P., Krisztin, T., … & Smith, P. (2020). Comparing the impact of future cropland expansion on global biodiversity and carbon storage across models and scenarios. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 375(1794), 20190189.

Doelman, J. C., Stehfest, E., Tabeau, A., van Meijl, H., Lassaletta, L., Gernaat, D. E., … & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Exploring SSP land-use dynamics using the IMAGE model: Regional and gridded scenarios of land-use change and land-based climate change mitigation. Global Environmental Change, 48, 119-135.

Hasegawa, T., Havlík, P., Frank, S., Palazzo, A., & Valin, H. (2019). Tackling food consumption inequality to fight hunger without pressuring the environment. Nature Sustainability, 2(9), 826-833.

Hanssen, S. V., Daioglou, V., Steinmann, Z. J., Frank, S., Popp, A., Brunelle, T., … & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Biomass residues as twenty-first century bioenergy feedstock—a comparison of eight integrated assessment models. Climatic Change, 163, 1569-1586.

Pastor, A. V., Palazzo, A., Havlik, P., Biemans, H., Wada, Y., Obersteiner, M., … & Ludwig, F. (2019). The global nexus of food–trade–water sustaining environmental flows by 2050. Nature Sustainability, 2(6), 499-507.

Frank, S., Havlík, P., Stehfest, E., van Meijl, H., Witzke, P., Pérez-Domínguez, I., … & Valin, H. (2019). Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 C target. Nature Climate Change, 9(1), 66-72.

Lauri, P., Forsell, N., Gusti, M., Korosuo, A., Havlík, P., & Obersteiner, M. (2019). Global woody biomass harvest volumes and forest area use under different SSP-RCP scenarios. Journal of Forest Economics, 34(3-4), 285-309.

Deppermann, A., Havlík, P., Valin, H., Boere, E., Herrero, M., Vervoort, J., & Mathijs, E. (2018). The market impacts of shortening feed supply chains in Europe. Food Security, 10, 1401-1410.

Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Havlík, P., Valin, H., Bodirsky, B. L., Doelman, J. C., … & Witzke, P. (2018). Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy. Nature climate change, 8(8), 699-703.

Frank, S., Beach, R., Havlík, P., Valin, H., Herrero, M., Mosnier, A., … & Obersteiner, M. (2018). Structural change as a key component for agricultural non-CO2 mitigation efforts. Nature communications, 9(1), 1060.

Deppermann, A., Balkovič, J., Bundle, S. C., Di Fulvio, F., Havlik, P., Leclère, D., … & Schepaschenko, D. (2018). Increasing crop production in Russia and Ukraine—regional and global impacts from intensification and recultivation. Environmental Research Letters, 13(2), 025008.

Lauri, P., Forsell, N., Korosuo, A., Havlík, P., Obersteiner, M., & Nordin, A. (2017). Impact of the 2 C target on global woody biomass use. Forest Policy and Economics, 83, 121-130.

Frank, S., Havlík, P., Soussana, J. F., Levesque, A., Valin, H., Wollenberg, E., … & Obersteiner, M. (2017). Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security?. Environmental Research Letters, 12(10), 105004.

Palazzo, A., Vervoort, J. M., Mason-D’Croz, D., Rutting, L., Havlík, P., Islam, S., … & Zougmore, R. (2017). Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context. Global Environmental Change, 45, 227-242.

More GLOBIOM publications can be found here:


Gvein, M.H., Hu, X., Næss, J.S., Watanabe, M.D.B., Cavalett, O., Malbranque, M., Kindermann, G. , & Cherubini, F. (2023). Potential of land-based climate change mitigation strategies on abandoned cropland. Communications Earth & Environment 4 (1) e39. 10.1038/s43247-023-00696-7.

den Elzen, M.G.J., Dafnomilis, I., Forsell, N. et al. Updated nationally determined contributions collectively raise ambition levels but need strengthening further to keep Paris goals within reach. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 27, 33 (2022).

Choi, Y., Lim, C. H., Krasovskiy, A., Platov, A., Kim, Y., Chung, H. I., … & Jeon, S. W. (2022). Can a national afforestation plan achieve simultaneous goals of biodiversity and carbon enhancement? Exploring optimal decision making using multi-spatial modeling. Biological Conservation, 267, 109474.

Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., Moisio, M., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., van Soest, H., Tanguy, P., Gonzales, S., et al. (2021). Greenhouse gas emission scenarios in nine key non-G20 countries: An assessment of progress toward 2030 climate targets. Environmental Science & Policy 123 67-81. 10.1016/j.envsci.2021.04.015.

Gusti M, Di Fulvio F, Biber P, Korosuo A, Forsell N. The Effect of Alternative Forest Management Models on the Forest Harvest and Emissions as Compared to the Forest Reference Level. Forests. 2020; 11(8):794.

Gusti, M., Di Fulvio, F. , & Forsell, N. (2020). Simulation of Shelterwood Logging in the Global Forest Model (G4M). In: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing V. pp. 730-742 Zbarazh, Ukraine: Springer. ISBN 978-3-030-63270-0 10.1007/978-3-030-63270-0_50.

Forsell, N., Korosuo, A., Gusti, M. et al. Impact of modelling choices on setting the reference levels for the EU forest carbon sinks: how do different assumptions affect the country-specific forest reference levels?. Carbon Balance Manage 14, 10 (2019).

Gusti, M., Forsell, N., Havlik, P. , Khabarov, N. , Kraxner, F., & Obersteiner, M. (2018). The sensitivity of the costs of reducing emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD) to future socioeconomic drivers and its implications for mitigation policy design. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 24 (6) 1123-1141. 10.1007/s11027-018-9817-9.

Patrizio, P., Leduc, S., Kraxner, F., Fuß, S., Kindermann, G. , Mesfun, S. , Spokas, K., Mendoza Ponce, A., et al. (2018). Reducing US coal emissions can boost employment. Joule 2 (12) 2633-2648. 10.1016/j.joule.2018.10.004.